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Listed beauty groups averaged 4.2% weighted like-for-like growth in Q1 26, but this masks a real divide. Half the peer group grew meaningfully while the other half was flat or in decline. I reckon that the differences partially come down to three variables: category mix, China exposure, and proximity to the Middle East conflict.
This week in beauty, we won’t see a mega Puig x Estée Lauder deal happening while Nykaa continues its impressive growth trajectory.
The Estée Lauder x Puig merger makes a lot of sense from a strategic point of view creating a fragrance powerhouse and creating a more geographically balanced group. Yet there are six risk that could kill this deal or kill the value after it closes.
Estée Lauder is planning to make an offer on Puig at 18 to 19 euros per share which would be a premium of 3% to 9% at their current price of 17.4 euros. I believe there are five strategic reasons that make this deal rational.
For the last four years Estée lived through one of the toughest stretches in modern prestige beauty with an average decrease in sales of nearly 7% per year.
L’Oréal commanded more social media and search attention over the past twelve months than the next ten beauty groups combined.
Estée Lauder reported a 5% rise in third-quarter net sales to $3.7billion, though organic growth was a more modest 2%. The results were clouded by an $84 million charge tied to a potential securities class action settlement, which pushed reported operating income down 19% while cost savings helped widen gross margins to 76.4%.
India is akready the seventh largest globally. Euromonitor puts sales at roughly $20bn in 2025, with annual growth exceeding 8% through 2029. When looking at prestige beauty that segment remained modest at $1bn in 2024, less than a quarter of France’s prestige beauty market. Yet Kearney projects a 14% CAGR until 2035, positioning India as…
Last week in beauty, the blockbuster merger between Estée Lauder and Puig took the spotlight.
The Estée Lauder Companies and Spanish group Puig have confirmed they are in preliminary discussions regarding a potential blockbuster merger.